Climate Change Impacts and Mitigation Policies

Zuidema, Shan, Jing Liu, Maksym G. Chepeliev, David R. Johnson, Uris Lantz C. Baldos, Steve Frolking, Christopher J. Kucharik, Wilfred M. Wollheim, and Thomas W. Hertel. 2023. “US Climate Policy Yields Water Quality Cobenefits in the Mississippi Basin and Gulf of Mexico.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120 (43): e2302087120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2302087120 .

Saeed, W., I. Haqiqi, Q. Kong, M. Huber, J. R. Buzan, S. Chonabayashi, K. Motohashi, and T. W. Hertel (2022). “The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate”, Earth’s Future doi: 10.1029/2022EF002777 .

Golub, Alla A, Brent Sohngen, Yongyang Cai, John B Kim and Thomas W Hertel (2022). “Costs of forest carbon sequestration in the presence of climate change impacts”, Environmental Research Letters, https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec5 .

Fuglie, K.O., U.L.C. Baldos, S. Ray and T.W. Hertel. (2022) “The R&D Cost of Climate Mitigation in Agriculture”, Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy. .

Lafferty, David C., Ryan L. Sriver, Iman Haqiqi, Thomas W. Hertel, Klaus Keller, and Robert E. 2021. “Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the severity of U.S. maize yield shocks”, Communications: Earth and Environment (2):196. .

Lima, Cicero Z., Jonathan R. Buzan, Frances C. Moore, Uris Lantz C. Baldos, Matthew Huber, and Thomas W. Hertel. 2021. “Heat Stress on Agricultural Workers Exacerbates Crop Impacts of Climate Change”, Environmental Research Letters 16 044020 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abeb9f .

Haqiqi, Iman, Danielle Grogan, Thomas Hertel and Wolfram Schlenker. 2021. “Quantifying the Impacts of Compound Extremes on Agriculture” Hydrology and Earth Systems Science, 25, 551–564.

Hertel, Thomas W., and Cicero Z. de Lima. 2020. “Viewpoint: Climate Impacts on Agriculture: Searching for Keys under the Streetlight.” Food Policy, August, 101954.

Diffenbaugh, N. S. et al. The COVID-19 lockdowns: a window into the Earth System. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 1–12 (2020) .

Sun, Shanxia, Brayam Valqui Ordonez, Mort D. Webster, Jing Liu, Christopher J. Kucharik, and Thomas Hertel. 2020. “Fine-scale Analysis of the Energy-Land-Water Nexus: Water Quality Implications of Biomass Co-Firing in the Midwestern U.S.”, Environmental Science and Technology https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b07458.

Baldos, U.L.C, K.O. Fuglie, and T.W. Hertel (2020) “The Research Costs of Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change: A Global Analysis to 2050”, Agricultural Economics 51(2)            https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.12550

Baldos, Uris L.C., Thomas W. Hertel, and Frances Moore, (2019). “Understanding the Spatial Distribution of Welfare Impacts of Global Warming on Agriculture and its Drivers”, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 101(5):1455–1472.

McCarl, Bruce and Thomas W. Hertel, 2018. “Climate Change as an Agricultural Economics Research Topic” Applied Economics Perspectives and Policy.

Moore, Frances C., Uris L.C. Baldos, Thomas W. Hertel, and Delavane Diaz, 2017. “New Science of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture Implies Higher Social Cost of Carbon” Nature Communications, 18:1607.

Moore, Frances C., Uris L.C. Baldos and Thomas W. Hertel,  2017. “Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture: A Comparison of Process-Based and Statistical Yield Models” Environmental Research Letters http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa6eb2/meta.

Cai, Yongyang, Alla A. Golub and Thomas W. Hertel, 2017. “Agricultural Spending Must Increase in Light of Future Uncertainties” Food Policy 70:71-83   http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919216303426

Henderson, B., A. Golub, D. Pambudi, T. Hertel, C. Godde, M. Herrero, O. Cacho, and P. Gerber. 2017. “The Power and Pain of Market-Based Carbon Policies: A Global Application to Greenhouse Gases from Ruminant Livestock Production.” Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, January, 1–21. doi:10.1007/s11027-017-9737-0.

Hertel, T., W. (2016) “Food Security Under Climate Change”, Nature Climate Change (6):10-13.

Hertel, T., W. (2015) “The Challenges of Sustainably Feeding a Growing Planet”, Food Security (7):185-198. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs12571-015-0440-2

Liu, J., T.W. Hertel, N.S. Diffenbaugh, M.S. Delgado and M. Ashfaq (2015). “Future property damage from flooding: Sensitivities to Economy and Climate Change”, Climatic Change August, DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1478-z

U.L.C. Baldos and T. W. Hertel (2015) “The Role of International Trade in Managing Food Security Risks from Climate Change”, Food Security http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12571-015-0435-z#page-1

Verma, M., T. W. Hertel and N.S. Diffenbaugh (2014). “Market-oriented ethanol and corn-trade policies can reduce climate-induced US corn price volatility”, Environmental Research Letters, 9 064028 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064028

Hertel, T., W. and D. Lobell, (2014) “Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Rich and Poor Countries: Current Modeling Practice and Potential for Empirical Contributions”, Energy Economics http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2014.04.014

Baldos, U. and T.W. Hertel, (2014) “Global food security in 2050:  The role of agricultural productivity and climate change”, Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, (58):1-18, doi: 10.1111/1467-8489.12048

Hussein, Z., T.W. Hertel and A. Golub (2013). “Poverty Impacts of Climate Mitigation Policy”, Environmental Research Letters 8 (2013) 035009 (10pp): doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035009.

Avetisyan, M., T.W. Hertel and G. Sampson (2013). “Is Local Food more Environmentally Friendly? The GHG Emissions Impacts of Consuming Imported vs. Domestically Produced Food”, Environmental and Resource Economics. 

Lobell, D., U. C. Baldos and T.W. Hertel (2013). “Climate Adaptation as Mitigation: The Case of Agricultural Investments”, Environmental Research Letters 8:1-12, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015012.

Ahmed, S. A., N. Diffenbaugh, T. Hertel, and W. Martin (2012) “Agriculture and Trade Opportunities for Tanzania: Past Volatility and Future Climate Change”, Review of Development Economics 16(3):429-447 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00672.x/pdf

Golub, A.A., B.B. Henderson, T.W Hertel, P. Gerber, S.K. Rose and B. Sohngen (in press). “Global Climate Policy Impacts on Livestock, Land Use, Livelihoods and Food Security”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2012/09/26/1108772109

Diffenbaugh, N.S., T. W. Hertel, M. Scherer, and M. Verma (2012). “Implications of Climate Volatility for Agricultural Commodity Markets under Alternative Energy Futures”, Nature Climate Change April 22, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1491.

Avetisyan, M., A. Golub, T.W Hertel, S. Rose and B. Henderson (2011). “Why a global carbon policy could have a dramatic impact on the pattern of worldwide livestock production”, Applied Economics Perspectives and Policy doi:10.1093/aepp/ppr026

Ahmed, S. A., N. Diffenbaugh, T. Hertel, and W. Martin (in press) “Agriculture and Trade Opportunities for Tanzania: Past Volatility and Future Climate Change”, Review of Development Economics.

Hertel, T., W. (2011) “The Distributional Impacts of Climate Policy: Discussion”,  B.E. Journal of Eocnomic Analysis and Policy.

Hertel, T., W., M. B. Burke and D. B. Lobell (2010) “The Poverty Implications of Climate-Induced Crop Yield Changes by 2030”, Global Environmental Change doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.001.

Ahmed, S. A., N. Diffenbaugh, T. Hertel, D. Lobell, P. Rowhani, N. Ramankutty and A. R. Rios (2010) “Climate Volatility and Poverty Vulnerability in Tanzania”,  Global Environmental Change http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.10.003

Hertel, T., W. and S. Rosch (2010) “Climate Change, Agriculture and Poverty”, Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 32(3): 355-385-31: doi: 10.1093/aepp/ppq016. See also short version published in VoxEU: http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/6233

Golub, A., Hertel, T. W., H. Lee, S. Rose and B. Sohngen, (2009).  "The Opportunity Cost of Land Use and the Global Potential for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in Agriculture and Forestry", Resource and Energy Economics, 31(4):299-319.

Ahmed, A.,  N. Diffenbaugh and T. Hertel, (2009) “Climate Volatility Deepens Poverty Vulnerability in Developing Countries”, Environmental Research Letters (4) doi:10.1088/1748-9326/4/3/034004

Hertel, T. W., H. Lee, S. Rose and B. Sohngen,  (2009).  " Modeling Land-use Related Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks and their Mitigation Potential",  Chapter 6 in Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy.  Edited by T. Hertel, S. Rose and R. Tol.  Routledge: forthcoming.