Economy-wide Impacts of International Trade

Busch, Jonah, Oyut Amarjargal, Farzad Taheripour, Kemen G. Austin, Rizki Nauli Siregar, Kellee Koenig, and Thomas W. Hertel. 2022. “Effects of Demand-Side Restrictions on High-Deforestation Palm Oil in Europe on Deforestation and Emissions in Indonesia.” Environmental Research Letters 17 (1): 014035. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac435e .

Yao, Guolin, Thomas W. Hertel and Farzad Taheripour, 2018. “Economic Drivers of Telecoupling and Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes in the Global Soybean Complex” Global Environmental Change, (50)190-200.

Akgul, Z., N.B. Villoria and T.W. Hertel, (2016) “GTAP-HET: Introducing Firm Heterogeneity into the GTAP Model”, Journal of Global Economic Analysis, (1):111-180.

Verma, M., T.W Hertel and E. Valenzuela (2011). “Are the Poverty Impacts of Trade Reforms Invisible?”, World Bank Economic Review doi:10.1093/wber/lhr014.

Ahmed, S.A., T.W. Hertel, and T.L. Walmsley (2011) “Outsourcing and the US Labour Market”, World Economy 34(2):173-329, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9701.2010.01297.x/pdf.

Hertel, T., W. Martin and A. Leister (2010) “Potential Implications of the Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM): The Case of Wheat”, World Bank Economic Review  doi: 10.1093/wber/lhq010.

Reimer, J.J. and T.W. Hertel, 2010. “Non-Homothetic Demands and the Factor Content of Trade,” The Review of International Economics 18(2):408-425.

Narayanan, B.G., T.W. Hertel, and J.M. Horridge (2010) “Disaggregated Data and Trade Policy Analysis: The Value of Linking Partial and General Equilibrium Models Economic Modelling”, Economic Modelling 27:755-766.

Hertel, T. W., R. Keeney, M. Ivanic, and L. A. Winters, 2009. "Why isn’t the Doha Development Agenda more Poverty Friendly?”, Review of Development Economics 13(4):543-559.

Grant, J., T. W. Hertel and T. F. Rutherford (2009).  "Dairy Tariff-Quota Liberalization: Contrasting Bilateral and Most Favored Nation Reform Options",  American Journal of Agricultural Economics 91(3):673-684.

Walmsley, T.L., T.W. Hertel and E. I. Ianchovichina (2012). “Assessing the Impact of China’s WTO Accession on Investment”, Chapter 8 in Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis, edited by Elena Ianchovichina and Terrie Walmsley, New York: Cambridge University Press.

Hertel, T. W., Walmsley, T.L. and K. Itakura (2012). “Dynamic Effects of the ‘New-Age’ Free Trade Agreement between Japan and Singapore”, Chapter 9 in Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis, edited by Elena Ianchovichina and Terrie Walmsley, New York: Cambridge University Press.

Valenzuela, E., K. Anderson and T. W. Hertel. 2007. “Impacts of Trade Reform: Sensitivity of Model Results to Key Assumptions.” International Economics and Economic Policy 4:395–420.

Ludena, C.E., T.W. Hertel, P.V. Preckel, K. Foster and A. Nin, 2007. “Productivity Growth and Convergence in Crop, Ruminant and Non-Ruminant Production: Measurement and Forecasts”, Agricultural Economics 37:1-17.

Hertel, T.W., R. Keeney, M. Ivanic and L.A. Winters, 2007. “Distributional Impacts of WTO Reforms in Rich and Poor Countries,”  Economic Policy 50(1):1-49 (April).

Hertel, T.W., D. Hummels, M. Ivanic and R. Keeney, 2007. “How Confident Can We Be in CGE-based Analysis of  Free Trade Agreements?,”  Economic Modelling 24 (2007) 611–635.

Hertel, Thomas W. and L. Alan Winters (editors), 2006.  Poverty and the WTO: Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda, New York: Palgrave MacMillan.

Elbehri, A. and T.W. Hertel, 2006. “A Comparative Analysis of the EU-Morocco FTA vs. Multilateral Trade Liberalization,” Journal of Economic Integration 21(3): 496-525.

Hertel, T. W. and M. Ivanic, 2006. “Making the Doha Development Agenda More Poverty-friendly: The Role of South-South Trade,” Review of Agricultural Economics 28(3):354-361.

Walmsley, T., T. W. Hertel, and E.I. Ianchovichina 2006. “Assessing the Impact of China’s WTO Accession on Investment,” Pacific Economic Review 11(3):315-339.

Hertel, T.W. and F. Zhai, 2006. “Labor Market Distortions, Rural-Urban Inequality and the Opening of China’s Economy,” Economic Modelling 23:76– 109.

Hertel, T.W. and J. J. Reimer, 2005. “Predicting the Poverty Impacts of Trade Reform,” Journal of International Trade and Economic Development 14(4):377-405. Also published in Italian, 2006. “Gli effetti della liberalizzazione commerciale sulla poverta,” Rivista Dell’Associazione Rossi-Doria, September, pp. 7 – 42.

Hertel, Thomas W. and L. Alan Winters, 2005. “Estimating the Poverty Impacts of a Prospective Doha Development Agenda,” World Economy. August, 28(8):1057-1072. 

Nin, A., T.W. Hertel, K. Foster and A. Rae, 2004. “Productivity Growth, Catching-up and Uncertainty in China’s Meat Trade,” Agricultural Economics, 31(1): 1-16.

Hertel, Thomas W., Maros Ivanic, Paul V. Preckel, and John Cranfield, 2004. “The Earnings Effects of Multilateral Trade Liberalization: Implications for Poverty,” World Bank Economic Review 18(2):205-236, also published in Winters, L.A. (2007), The WTO and Poverty and Inequality, Volume 1, Chapter 18, Edward Elgar Publishing, Ltd., Cheltenham, United Kingdom.

Han, Y. and T. W. Hertel 2003. “The Puzzling State of China’s Meat Trade,” Choices 2nd quarter,
http://www.choicesmagazine.org/archives/2003/q2/2003-2-03.htm

Hertel, Thomas W., Paul V. Preckel, Maros Ivanic and John Cranfield 2003. “Multilateral Trade Liberalization and Poverty in Brazil and Chile,” Economie Internationale vol. 94-95.

Hertel, Thomas W., Maros Ivanic, Paul V. Preckel, John Cranfield and Will Martin, 2003. “Short-run vs. Long-run Implications of Trade Liberalization for Poverty in Three Developing Countries,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 85(5):1299-1306.

Elbehri, A., T.W. Hertel, W. Martin, 2003. “Estimating the Impact of Trade Reforms in the Indian Cotton Sector: A General Equilibrium Approach,” Review of Development Economics, 7(3):343-359.

Hertel, Thomas W., Will Martin, and Bernard Hoekman, 2002. “Developing Countries and a New Round of WTO Negotiations,” World Bank Research Observer, (17):113-140.

Anderson, Kym, Betina Dimaranan, Joe Francois, Thomas W. Hertel, Bernard Hoekman and Will Martin, 2001. “The Cost of Rich (and Poor) Country Protection to Developing Countries,” Journal of African Economies, 10(3):227-257.

Hertel, Thomas W., Terrie Walmsley and Ken Itakura, 2001. “Dynamic Effects of the ‘New Age’ Free Trade Agreement between Japan and Singapore,” Journal of Economic Integration, December, 16(4):446-484.

Walmsley, Terrie, Thomas W. Hertel, 2001. “China’s Accession to the WTO: Timing is Everything,” World Economy. August, 24(8):1019-1049. 

Hertel, Thomas W. and Will Martin, 2001. “Second-best Considerations in Multilateral Trade Liberalization,” Review of International Economics, May, 9(2):215-232.

Hertel, Thomas W. (editor), 1997.  Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, New York; Cambridge University Press, 1997.

Hertel, T.W., 2011. “Alan Deardorff’s Contributions to Computational Analysis of  International Trade”,  in Comparative Advantage, Economic Growth, and the Gains from Trade and Globalization:
A Festschrift in Honor of Alan V. Deardorff, edited by Robert Stern, University of Michigan Press.

Strutt, A., T. W. Hertel and S. Stone  (2010). “Exploring Poverty Impacts of ASEAN Trade Liberalization for Cambodia, Lao PDR, Thailand and Vietnam”, Chapter 8 (pp. 217-245) in J. Gilbert (ed.), Frontiers of Economics and Globalization Vol. 7, Emerald Publishing.

Hertel, T. W. and R. Keeney  (2010). “Poverty Impacts in 15 Countries: The GTAP Model”, Chapter 4 (pp. 119-144) in K. Anderson, J. Cockburn and W. Martin (eds), Agricultural Price Distortions, Inequality and Poverty, Washington, DC: The World Bank.

Zhai, F. and T. W. Hertel  (2010). “China”, Chapter 5 (pp. 147-178) in K. Anderson, J. Cockburn and W. Martin (eds), Agricultural Price Distortions, Inequality and Poverty, Washington, DC: The World Bank.

Hertel, T. W. and T. Mirza  (2009). “The Role of Trade Facilitation in South Asian Economic Integration”, Chapter 2 (pp. 12-39): The Asian Development Bank Study on Intraregional Trade and Investment in South Asia, Manila: The Asian Development Bank.

Hertel, T. W., C. E. Ludena and A. Golub  (2009). “Economic Growth, Technological Change and Patterns of Food and Agricultural Trade in Asia”, Chapter 6 (pp. 175-210) in: From Growth to Convergence: Asia’s Next Two Decades, edited by Fan Zhai, UK: Palgrave MacMillan.

Grant, J. T. W. Hertel and T. F. Rutherford. 2007. “Tariff Line Analysis of US and International Dairy Protection,” in: Keijiro Otsuka and Kaliappa Kalirajan (eds.), Contributions of Agricultural Economics to Critical Policy Issues. Malden, MA: Blackwell, pp. 271-280 , also published in Agricultural Economics, 37(s1): 271-280.

Dimaranan, Betina, Thomas Hertel, and Will Martin, 2006. “Potential Gains from Post-UR Trade Reform: Impacts on Developing Countries,” chapter 6 in Reforming Agricultural Trade for Developing Countries (Vol. 2), edited by Alex F. McCalla and John Nash, Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

Hertel, T. W. and R. Keeney. 2006. “Assessing the Impact of WTO Reforms on World Agricultural Markets: A New Approach,” chapter 16 in: Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade: New Approaches to Analyzing Market Structure and Instability, edited by Alexander Sarris and David Hallam, Edward Elgar Publishing, U.K.

Hertel, T. W. and L. A. Winters, 2006. “Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement: Synthesis and Overview,” Chapter 1 in T. W. Hertel and L.Alan Winters (eds.) Poverty and the WTO: Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda, New York: Palgrave-MacMillan.

Hertel, T. W. and M. Ivanic, 2006. “World Market Impacts of Multilateral Trade Reforms,” Chapter 3 in T. W. Hertel and L.Alan Winters (eds.) Poverty and the WTO: Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda, New York: Palgrave-MacMillan.

Zhai, F. and T.W. Hertel, 2006. “Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda on China: The Role of Complementary Education Reforms,” Chapter 10 in T. W. Hertel and L.Alan Winters (eds.) Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement: Putting Development Back into the Doha Agenda, New York: Palgrave-MacMillan.

Hertel, T.W., and R. Keeney, 2006. “The Balance between Domestic Support, Market Access and Export Competition: Where do Developing Country Interests Lie?”, Chapter 2 in K. Anderson and W. Martin (eds.) Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, New York: Palgrave-MacMillan.

Dimaranan, Betina, Thomas Hertel and Roman Keeney, 2004. “OECD Domestic Support and the Developing Countries,” in B. Kuha-Gasnobis (ed.) The WTO, Developing Countries and the Doha Development Agenda, New York: Palgrave-MacMillan.

Hertel, T.W., F. Zhai and W. Zhi, 2004. “Implications of WTO Accession for Poverty in China,” Chapter 15 in Bhattasali, D., Li, Shantong and Martin, W. eds, China and the WTO: Accession, Policy Reform, and Poverty Reduction Strategies, Oxford University Press.

Martin, W., B. Dimaranan, T.W. Hertel and E. Ianchovichina, 2003. “Trade Policy, Structural Change and China’s Trade Growth,” Chapter 6 in N. Hope, D. T. Yang and M.Y. Li (eds.) How Far Across the River: Chinese Policy Reform at the Millennium, Stanford University Press.

Hertel, Thomas W., Kym Anderson, Joseph Francois, and Will Martin, 2004. “The Global and Regional Effects of  Liberalizing Agriculture and Other Trade in the New Round,” Chapter 11 (221-244) in  Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda: Creating a Global Trading Environment for Development, M. Ingco and A. Winters (eds.), Cambridge University Press.

Elbehri, A., M. Ingco, T.W. Hertel, and K. Pearson, 2004. "Liberalizing Tariff Rate Quotas: Quantifying the Effects of Enhancing Market Access," Chapter 10 (194-220) in  Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda: Creating a Global Trading Environment for Development, M. Ingco and A. Winters (eds.), Cambridge University Press.

Itakura, K. and T.  W. Hertel, 2002. “The Uruguay Round, China’s Accession to the WTO and the Japanese Manufacturing Industry in East Asia: A Dynamic Analysis,” Chapter 1 (1–37) in Daisuke Hiratsuka (ed.) Global Development of Gifu’s Manufacturing Industry in East Asia, Tokyo: Institute of Developing  Economies.

Hertel, T. W., B. Hoekman, and W. Martin, 2002. "Agricultural negotiations in the context of a broader round: a developing country perspective," Chapter 6 in Lynn Kennedy and Won Koo eds., Agricultural Trade Policy in the New Millennium, Haworth Press.

Hertel, T. W., 2001. "A Global Perspective on Regional Integration in North America,” Chapter 5 in R.M.A. Lyons, K. Meilke, R.D. Knutson and A. Yunez-Naude, eds., Trade Liberalization Under NAFTA: Report Card on Agriculture, Friesen Printers.

Tsigas, M.E., D. Gray, T.W. Hertel, and B. Krissoff, 2001. "Environmental consequences of trade liberalization in the Western Hemisphere,” Chapter 14 in Munasinghe, Mohan, Osvaldo Sunkel and Carlos de Miguel(eds), 2001, The Sustainability of Long-term Growth: Socioeconomic and Ecological Perspectives, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.