Global Food, Land and Water Issues
Chaudhary, Abhishek, and Thomas Hertel. 2024. “Recent Developments and Challenges in Projecting the Impact of Crop Productivity Growth on Biodiversity Considering Market-Mediated Effects.” Environmental Science & Technology, January. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c05137.
Johnson, Justin Andrew, Uris Lantz Baldos, Erwin Corong, Thomas Hertel, Stephen Polasky, Raffaello Cervigni, Toby Roxburgh, Giovanni Ruta, Colette Salemi, and Sumil Thakrar. 2023. “Investing in Nature Can Improve Equity and Economic Returns.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120 (27): e2220401120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2220401120
Hertel, Thomas W., Elena Irwin, Stephen Polasky, and Navin Ramankutty. 2023. “Focus on Global–Local–Global Analysis of Sustainability.” Environmental Research Letters 18 (10): 100201. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acf8da
Liu, Jing, Laura Bowling, Christopher Kucharik, Sadia Jame, Uris Baldos, Larissa Jarvis, Navin Ramankutty, and Thomas Hertel. 2023. “Tackling Policy Leakage and Targeting Hotspots Could Be Key to Addressing the ‘Wicked’ Challenge of Nutrient Pollution from Corn Production in the U.S.” Environmental Research Letters 18 (10): 105002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acf727.
Lopez-Barrera, E. and T.W. Hertel, (2023) “Solutions to the double burden of malnutrition also generate health and environmental benefits”, Nature Food, (4):616-624. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00798-7
Haqiqi, I., Bowling, L. C., Jame, S. A., Baldos, U. L., & Liu, J. Hertel, T. W., (2023). Global Drivers of Local Water Stresses and Global Responses to Local Water Policies in the United States. Environmental Research Letters 18(6) 065007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acd269
Ray, Srabashi, Iman Haqiqi, Alexandra E. Hill, J. Edward Taylor and Thomas W Hertel. (2023) “Labor markets: A critical link between global-local shocks and their impact on agriculture”, Environmental Research Letters.
Haqiqi, Iman, Danielle S Grogan, Marziyeh Bahalou, Jing Liu, Uris L C Baldos, Richard Lammers, and Thomas W Hertel. (2023) “Local, regional, and global adaptations to a compound pandemic-weather stress event”, Environmental Research Letters.
Kabir, Kayenat, Thomas W. Hertel and U.L.C. Baldos. (2022) “The New Malthusian Challenge in the Sahel: Prospects for Improving Food Security in Niger”, Food Security https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-022-01319-3
S. Noia Júnior, Rogerio de, Frank Ewert, Heidi Webber, Pierre Martre, Thomas W. Hertel, Martin K. van Ittersum and Senthold Asseng (2022). “Needed global wheat stock and crop management in response to the war in Ukraine”, Global Food Security https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2022.100662
Haqiqi, Iman, Chris J. Perry & Thomas W. Hertel (2022) When the virtual water runs out: local and global responses to addressing unsustainable groundwater consumption, Water International, 47:7, 1060-1084, doi: 10.1080/02508060.2023.2131272
Hertel, Thomas, Ismahane Elouafi, Morakot Tanticharoen and Frank Ewert (2021). “Diversification for enhanced food systems resilience”, Nature Food, November https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00403-9
Baylis, Kathleen, Thomas Heckelei and Thomas W. Hertel. 2021. “Agricultural Trade and Sustainability”, Annual Review of Resource Economics, (16), https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-101420-090453.
Seppelt, Ralf, Channing Arndt, Michael Beckmann, Emily A. Martin, and Thomas W. Hertel. 2020. “Deciphering the Biodiversity–Production Mutualism in the Global Food Security Debate.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 35(11)1011-1020.
Baldos, U.L.C, I. Haqiqi, T.W. Hertel, J.M. Horridge and J. Liu (2020) “SIMPLE-G: A Multiscale Framework for Integration of Economic and Biophysical Determinants of Sustainability ”, Environmental Modelling and Software vol. 133(November):1-14.
Hertel, T.W. and U.L.C. Baldos and K.O. Fuglie. (2020) “Trade in Technology: A Potential Solution to the Food Security Challenges of the 21st Century”, European Economic Review 127 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103479 and NBER Working Paper 27148, http://www.nber.org/papers/w27148 .
Birgit Müller, Falk Hoffmann, Thomas Heckelei, Christoph Müller, Thomas W. Hertel, J. Gareth Polhill, Mark van Wijk, Thom Achterbosch, Peter Alexander, Calum Brown, David Kreuer, Frank Ewert, Jiaqi Ge, James D.A. Millington, Ralf Seppelt, Peter H. Verburg, Heidi Webber (2020) “Modelling Food Security: Bridging the Gap between the Micro and the Macro Scale”, Global Environmental Change https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102085.
Lopez-Barrera, E. and T.W. Hertel, (2020) “Global food waste across the income spectrum: Implications for food prices, production and resource use”, Food Policy https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101874
Taheripour, F., T.W. Hertel and N. Ramankutty (2019). “Market-mediated responses confound policies to limit deforestation from oil palm expansion in Malaysia and Indonesia” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (38) 19193-19199.
Hertel, Thomas W., Thales West, Jan Boerner and Nelson Villoria, 2019. “A Review of Global-Local-Global Linkages in Economic Land-use/cover Change Models” Environmental Research Letters; https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab0d33
Hertel, Thomas W. 2018. “Economic Perspectives on Land Use Change and Leakage” Environmental Research Letters13 075012; http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aad2a4/pdf
Baldos, Uris L.C., Frederi G. Viens, Thomas W. Hertel, (2019) “R&D Spending, Knowledge Capital and Agricultural Productivity Growth: A Bayesian Approach” American Journal of Agricultural Economics101(1): 291-310: https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aay039.
Yao, Guolin, Thomas W. Hertel and Farzad Taheripour, 2018. “Economic Drivers of Telecoupling and Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes in the Global Soybean Complex” Global Environmental Change, (50)190-200.
Cai, Yongyang, Alla A. Golub and Thomas W. Hertel, 2017. “Agricultural Spending Must Increase in Light of Future Uncertainties” Food Policy 70:71-83 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919216303426
Liu, Jing, Thomas W. Hertel, Richard Lammers, Alexander Prusevich, Uris Baldos, Danielle Grogan and Steve Frolking, 2017. “Achieving Sustainable Irrigation Water Withdrawals: Global Impacts on Food Security and Land Use” Environmental Research Letters 12(10) https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa88db.
Hertel, Thomas W. 2016. “Land Use in the 21st Century: Contributing to the Global Public Good.” Review of Development Economics, December. doi:10.1111/rode.12295
Baldos, U.L.C. and T.W. Hertel, (2016) “Debunking the ‘New Normal’: Why World Food Prices are Expected to Resume their Long run Downward Trend”, Global Food Security, (8):27-38.
Hertel, T., W., U.L.C. Baldos and D. van der Mensbrugghe (2016) “Predicting Long Term Food Demand, Cropland Use and Prices”, Annual Review of Resource Economics (forthcoming).
Liu, J., T.W. Hertel, and F. Taheripour. 2016. “Analyzing Water Scarcity in Global CGE Models”, Water Economics and Policy (forthcoming).
Hertel, T., W., J. Liu (2016) “Implications of Water Scarcity for Economic Growth”, OECD Environment Working Paper No. 109:http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/environment/implications-of-water-scarcity-for-economic-growth_5jlssl611r32-en
Hertel, Thomas W. and U.L.C. Baldos, 2016. Global Change and the Challenge of Sustainably Feeding a Growing Planet, New York: Springer, E-book available at: http://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-319-22662-0.
Liu, Jianguo, Harold Mooney, Vanessa Hull, Steven J. Davis, Joanne Gaskell, Thomas Hertel, Jane Lubchenco, et al. 2015. “Systems Integration for Global Sustainability.” Science 347 (6225): 1258832. doi:10.1126/science.1258832.
Hertel, Thomas W. 2015. “The Challenges of Sustainably Feeding a Growing Planet.” Food Security.
Steinbuks, J. and T. W. Hertel (2014) “Confronting the Food-Energy-Environment Trilemma: Global Land Use in the Long Run”, Environmental and Resource Economics http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10640-014-9848-y#page-1
Hertel, T.W., N. Ramankutty and U.L.C. Baldos (2014). “Global market integration increases likelihood that a future African Green Revolution could increase cropland area and GHG emissions”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111(38): 13799–13804, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1403543111.
Liu, J., T.W. Hertel, F. Taheripour, T. Zhu and C. Ringler (2014). “International Trade Buffers the Impact of Future Irrigation Shortfalls”, Global Environmental Change 29:22-31.
Britz, W., T. W. Hertel, and J. Pelikan (2014). “How Green are Agricultural Set Asides? An Analysis at the Global and Regional Levels”, Journal of Agricultural Economics, doi:10.1111/1477-9552.12065
Baldos, U. and T.W. Hertel, “Looking back to move forward on model validation: Insights from a global model of agricultural land use”, Environmental Research Letters (8): doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034024
Liu, J., V. Hull, M. Batistella, R. DeFries, T. Dietz, F. Fu, T.W. Hertel, R.C. Izaurralde, E.F. Lambin, S. Li, L. A. Martinelli, W. McConnell, E.F. Moran, R. Naylor, Z. Ouyang, K.R. Polenske, A. Reenberg, G. Rocha, C.S. Simmons, P.H. Verburg, P.M. Vitousek, F. Zhang and C. Zhu (2013). “Framing Sustainability in a Telecoupled World”, Ecology and Society 18 (2): 26, http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss2/art26/.
Meyfroidt, P., E.F. Lambin, K. Erb and T.W. Hertel (2013). “Globalization of land use: Distant drivers of land change and geographic displacement of land use”, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2013.04.003.
Steinbuks, J. and T.W. Hertel (2013). “Energy prices will play an important role in determining global land use in the twenty first century”, Environmental Research Letters doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014014.
Golub, A., and T. W. Hertel. 2008. “Global Economic Integration and Land Use Change”, Journal of Economic Integration 23(3):463-488.
Hertel, T., W. (2011) “The Global Supply and Demand for Land in 2050: A Perfect Storm?”, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 93(2):259-275.
Hertel, T. W., S. Rose and R. Tol (eds.) (2009). Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy. Abingdon: Routledge.
Hertel, T. W., S. Rose and R. Tol (2009). “Land Use in Computable General Equilibrium Models: An Overview”, Chapter 1 in: Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy, edited by, T.W. Hertel, S. Rose and R. Tol, UK: Routledge Press.
Golub, A. and T.W. Hertel (2012). “Global Economic Integration and Land Use Change”, Chapter 11 in Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis, edited by Elena Ianchovichina and Terrie Walmsley, New York: Cambridge University Press.
Monfreda, C., N. Ramankutty, and T. W. Hertel, (2009). “Global Agricultural Land Use Data for Climate Change Analysis,” Chapter 2 in: Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy, edited by, T.W. Hertel, S. Rose and R. Tol, UK: Routledge Press.
Lee, H.L., T. W. Hertel, S. Rose and M. Avetsiyan (2009). “An Integrated Land Use Data Base for CGE Analysis of Climate Policy Options,” Chapter 4 in: Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy, edited by, T.W. Hertel, S. Rose and R. Tol, UK: Routledge Press.
Golub, A., T.W. Hertel and B. Sohngen, (2009). “Long Run Land Use Modeling in a Recursively Dynamic Framework”, Chapter 10 in Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy. Edited by T. Hertel, S. Rose and R. Tol. Routledge: forthcoming.
Sohngen, B., A. Golub, and T.W. Hertel, (2009). “The Role of Forestry in Carbon Sequestration in General Equilibrium Models”, Chapter 12 in Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy. Edited by T. Hertel, S. Rose and R. Tol. Routledge: forthcoming.
Ramankutty, N., T. W. Hertel and H. Lee. 2007. “Global Agricultural Land Use Data for Integrated Assessment Modeling,” chapter 21 in: Human-Induced Climate Change, edited by Michael Schlesinger, Cambridge University Press, U.K.