cbb2012

Home Field Advantage: 3.03
Extra Variance: 72.
Conference Comparison
The teams are ranked according to their expected win percentage (EWP) if they were to play a home-and-home series with every team.

Ranking	Team	EWP	Rating	LogRating	Variance	Games Played
1	Kentucky	93.%	19.67	17.23	10.42	38
2	OhioSt	91.5%	17.85	15.43	14.04	38
3	Syracuse	89.8%	16.78	16.41	8.67	37
4	MichiganSt	89.4%	16.01	15.79	14.16	36
5	Kansas	89.3%	15.84	13.78	13.14	37
6	NorthCarolina	89.2%	16.08	15.83	17.89	38
7	Missouri	85.4%	12.87	12.75	24.54	35
8	Florida	85.2%	13.71	13.43	19.1	37
9	WichitaSt	85.%	14.27	13.97	20.56	32
10	Indiana	84.9%	12.74	12.45	15.88	36
11	Wisconsin	84.4%	12.21	11.83	19.66	36
12	Georgetown	83.7%	13.68	13.38	18.69	32
13	Marquette	83.5%	12.51	12.28	19.84	35
14	Baylor	83.5%	12.53	12.26	15.56	37
15	Memphis	83.1%	12.33	12.1	20.	35
16	Duke	82.8%	11.45	11.29	17.2	34
17	Louisville	82.6%	12.21	8.66	18.14	39
18	StLouis	82.2%	11.44	11.09	14.89	33
19	Belmont	80.8%	11.5	11.33	20.68	34
20	Vanderbilt	80.5%	10.98	10.71	27.23	36
21	NewMexico	80.3%	10.21	9.93	27.07	34
22	Gonzaga	78.9%	9.86	9.55	11.75	33
23	FloridaSt	78.8%	10.39	10.21	27.36	35
24	KansasSt	78.5%	9.27	9.1	19.6	33
25	UNLV	78.4%	11.05	10.9	15.76	33
26	Creighton	77.8%	9.83	9.65	19.26	35
27	Michigan	77.2%	9.25	9.11	21.91	33
28	Alabama	77.1%	8.58	8.32	18.28	33
29	MurraySt	76.6%	9.13	8.92	14.42	30
30	IowaSt	76.6%	9.24	9.03	18.48	34
31	Texas	76.5%	8.34	8.19	9.7	34
32	Cincinnati	76.1%	8.73	8.56	18.72	37
33	California	76.%	9.02	8.94	22.73	34
34	StMarysCA	75.9%	9.09	8.88	19.75	31
35	Purdue	75.8%	8.02	7.73	25.25	35
36	Temple	75.6%	8.86	8.82	17.8	32
37	Virginia	75.4%	8.12	8.12	18.98	32
38	Connecticut	75.4%	8.94	8.86	14.33	34
39	LongBeachSt	75.4%	8.65	8.48	13.04	32
40	NCState	74.4%	9.23	8.94	18.36	37
41	BYU	73.6%	7.08	7.05	22.64	33
42	WestVirginia	73.4%	7.66	7.69	28.29	33
43	MiamiFL	73.1%	7.79	7.88	16.6	33
44	MiddleTennSt	73.1%	7.58	7.53	18.76	33
45	Harvard	73.%	8.14	7.97	13.65	30
46	Iona	72.9%	8.65	8.51	19.32	33
47	VACommonwealth	72.7%	8.45	8.19	17.36	36
48	Minnesota	72.4%	7.2	5.83	19.33	36
49	SDakotaSt	72.3%	7.26	7.09	23.65	33
50	NotreDame	72.2%	7.68	7.53	25.16	34
51	Xavier	72.1%	7.	6.81	20.33	36
52	Stanford	71.5%	6.96	6.55	21.59	35
53	SetonHall	71.2%	7.5	7.5	30.02	34
54	Arizona	71.%	6.94	7.01	18.56	35
55	NewMexicoSt	71.%	7.37	7.26	18.43	34
56	StBonaventure	71.%	8.02	7.79	17.37	32
57	LaSalle	70.9%	7.93	7.87	13.25	34
58	Akron	70.5%	6.57	6.19	13.46	33
59	Ohio	70.5%	5.59	5.4	23.43	36
60	SouthFlorida	70.3%	7.24	7.15	20.84	35
61	SouthernMiss	70.1%	6.28	6.15	13.43	32
62	Davidson	70.1%	6.61	6.44	15.69	32
63	SanDiegoSt	69.9%	6.86	6.81	16.41	32
64	Pittsburgh	69.9%	7.31	6.65	24.36	36
65	StJosephsPA	69.8%	7.55	7.41	14.17	34
66	Drexel	69.8%	5.8	5.74	18.77	36
67	UCLA	69.5%	7.42	7.33	19.01	32
68	Washington	69.5%	5.05	4.94	14.77	34
69	Massachusetts	69.2%	6.75	5.64	23.82	36
70	Northwestern	68.9%	6.02	5.86	16.63	33
71	Oregon	68.6%	5.19	4.82	18.3	34
72	Dayton	68.1%	6.01	5.75	30.22	33
73	Tennessee	68.%	5.21	5.21	13.79	33
74	MississippiSt	67.9%	6.	5.95	13.53	33
75	Illinois	67.8%	5.34	5.27	12.25	32
76	OralRoberts	67.5%	5.3	5.38	16.36	34
77	Marshall	67.1%	4.39	3.38	17.13	34
78	VirginiaTech	66.7%	4.9	4.72	15.14	33
79	ClevelandSt	66.7%	5.42	5.29	30.67	32
80	Lehigh	66.4%	5.2	5.19	13.62	34
81	NorthernIowa	66.4%	5.84	5.38	22.03	33
82	Denver	66.2%	3.2	3.29	14.95	31
83	ColoradoSt	65.7%	4.38	4.42	17.42	31
84	Mercer	65.6%	4.97	4.32	12.83	36
85	Buffalo	65.4%	4.05	3.61	18.67	30
86	GeorgiaSt	65.4%	5.58	5.07	20.69	34
87	Villanova	65.2%	4.98	4.94	15.	32
88	OregonSt	65.%	4.79	4.96	24.51	35
89	Clemson	64.7%	4.99	4.93	22.04	31
90	Wyoming	64.4%	3.14	3.28	16.48	31
91	Colorado	64.3%	3.63	3.62	21.41	34
92	Wagner	64.%	5.65	5.66	17.13	31
93	IllinoisSt	63.9%	4.26	3.72	20.48	35
94	MissouriSt	63.7%	3.44	3.51	30.73	31
95	UTArlington	63.6%	4.87	5.02	20.88	32
96	Bucknell	63.5%	3.55	3.17	15.3	34
97	LSU	63.5%	3.6	3.43	17.32	33
98	Mississippi	63.4%	3.14	3.19	15.33	34
99	Tulsa	63.2%	3.32	3.29	15.24	31
100	Lamar	63.2%	3.01	3.11	22.47	33
101	Montana	63.1%	3.78	3.85	16.06	30
102	UCF	62.5%	3.79	3.59	14.61	31
103	Nevada	62.3%	3.85	3.79	24.16	33
104	OklahomaSt	62.%	2.68	2.7	14.66	32
105	Kent	61.9%	3.93	3.91	16.85	32
106	SantaBarbara	61.9%	3.39	3.33	17.41	29
107	Oklahoma	61.9%	2.2	2.29	17.17	31
108	GeorgeMason	61.7%	2.64	2.63	13.11	33
109	WashingtonSt	61.6%	3.49	2.77	24.03	33
110	Princeton	61.6%	4.32	3.81	19.88	30
111	Iowa	61.5%	2.87	2.65	28.56	35
112	Duquesne	61.3%	4.5	4.42	23.47	30
113	Richmond	61.2%	4.08	3.72	19.28	32
114	UNCAsheville	61.1%	3.75	3.54	10.55	31
115	Georgia	59.9%	2.55	2.63	18.52	32
116	OldDominion	59.8%	2.56	2.62	13.76	36
117	Fairfield	59.6%	4.1	4.08	12.82	37
118	Detroit	59.4%	2.77	2.7	15.91	34
119	Butler	59.1%	2.82	2.83	17.79	36
120	Rutgers	58.6%	1.91	2.09	22.54	32
121	RobertMorris	58.5%	2.88	2.12	17.42	37
122	WeberSt	58.2%	2.25	2.31	11.62	30
123	Arkansas	58.1%	.56	.73	17.72	32
124	TexasA&M	57.8%	1.85	1.82	11.87	31
125	UtahSt	57.5%	1.25	1.02	17.46	35
126	Manhattan	57.4%	2.67	2.55	22.44	34
127	Evansville	56.9%	.89	1.06	29.37	31
128	Vermont	56.8%	2.06	2.04	14.01	36
129	BowlingGreen	56.7%	1.95	2.22	18.57	31
130	Providence	56.6%	1.56	1.82	23.32	32
131	SCUpstate	56.5%	1.75	1.52	12.27	32
132	UAB	56.5%	.59	.69	21.2	31
133	Valparaiso	56.4%	.69	1.05	25.19	32
134	LoyolaMD	56.2%	2.95	2.89	14.8	33
135	Maryland	55.9%	.39	.36	13.54	32
136	ETSU	55.8%	1.04	.98	16.97	30
137	WIMilwaukee	55.6%	2.05	2.37	20.38	32
138	EastCarolina	55.4%	1.02	.95	19.36	27
139	Penn	55.4%	2.6	2.7	12.67	33
140	UTEP	55.3%	1.	1.14	18.58	32
141	IndianaSt	55.2%	1.25	1.37	19.4	32
142	Drake	55.1%	.88	1.04	22.38	33
143	NDakotaSt	55.%	-.3	-.19	22.29	29
144	PennSt	54.7%	1.68	1.7	12.79	32
145	Charlotte	54.7%	.65	.87	17.27	30
146	BoiseSt	54.7%	1.81	1.73	21.09	29
147	Oakland	54.6%	.87	1.04	20.34	35
148	LoyMarymount	54.4%	1.37	1.3	30.21	32
149	Auburn	54.1%	1.06	1.21	16.13	31
150	Rice	53.9%	.18	.31	17.08	32
151	Idaho	53.6%	.47	.68	20.81	31
152	SanFrancisco	53.4%	.2	.43	15.36	32
153	Nebraska	52.9%	-.72	-.57	22.91	30
154	LongIsland	52.7%	.44	.48	19.37	34
155	ColCharleston	52.4%	1.33	1.56	32.39	31
156	StJohns	52.4%	1.33	1.44	20.47	32
157	Yale	52.2%	.73	.79	13.83	27
158	StonyBrook	51.8%	1.53	1.48	18.05	31
159	SFAustin	51.8%	-.21	-.06	25.6	28
160	YoungstownSt	51.5%	-.82	-.58	21.22	29
161	NorthTexas	51.2%	-.19	-.09	18.21	29
162	CharlestonSo	51.%	-.42	-.12	17.74	28
163	DePaul	51.%	.25	.32	16.06	31
164	WMichigan	50.9%	-1.06	-1.02	19.7	33
165	SouthCarolina	50.8%	-.1	-.13	10.93	31
166	TCU	50.8%	.32	.32	21.34	32
167	Quinnipiac	50.7%	.68	.37	15.79	32
168	CSFullerton	50.6%	.17	.48	21.97	29
169	UTSanAntonio	50.6%	.67	.74	22.5	30
170	GeorgiaTech	50.5%	-1.04	-.8	35.51	31
171	CalPolySLO	50.%	-.16	-.01	25.19	31
172	WIGreenBay	49.8%	-1.05	-1.	12.1	28
173	TennesseeSt	49.5%	.27	.16	11.2	31
174	FLGulfCoast	49.5%	-.13	-.1	16.23	31
175	GWashington	49.%	-.62	-.42	18.82	31
176	Delaware	48.9%	-.33	.02	15.11	32
177	WIllinois	48.9%	-.48	-.37	22.39	29
178	FresnoSt	48.6%	-1.68	-1.53	13.76	31
179	TennesseeTech	48.4%	-1.71	-1.23	26.11	31
180	SavannahSt	48.2%	-2.14	-1.72	17.38	31
181	Tulane	48.%	-.64	-.46	19.28	29
182	CoastalCar	47.9%	-1.59	-1.13	23.74	27
183	NorthFlorida	47.9%	-.03	.01	18.57	31
184	NorfolkSt	47.9%	-1.4	-1.19	19.47	34
185	ArkLittleRock	47.6%	-1.8	-1.64	23.52	30
186	AmericanUniv	47.1%	.07	.27	15.15	32
187	BallSt	46.9%	-1.02	-.89	17.33	29
188	ArkansasSt	46.7%	-3.45	-3.33	20.23	33
189	Wofford	46.6%	-.75	-.23	22.44	31
190	MiamiOH	46.4%	-1.66	-1.39	13.99	29
191	AirForce	46.4%	-1.2	-1.1	18.49	27
192	Houston	46.2%	-2.12	-1.85	17.61	29
193	SMU	45.9%	-1.16	-.93	18.8	30
194	LouisianaTech	45.9%	-2.53	-2.27	10.61	32
195	Columbia	45.4%	-.93	-.85	21.81	28
196	WakeForest	45.2%	-2.87	-2.54	23.02	31
197	Lipscomb	45.1%	-2.74	-2.27	22.08	30
198	EWashington	45.1%	-2.61	-2.31	16.38	30
199	MoreheadSt	45.%	-3.34	-3.18	25.33	30
200	PortlandSt	44.9%	-2.18	-1.82	13.73	30
201	IUPUI	44.8%	-1.32	-1.11	14.63	30
202	ULL	44.8%	-2.65	-2.47	21.49	31
203	FLAtlantic	44.6%	-1.76	-1.44	21.16	29
204	NCCentral	44.5%	-3.25	-3.09	19.92	28
205	SouthAlabama	44.3%	-1.1	-.93	19.7	28
206	WKentucky	44.3%	-2.52	-2.57	18.62	35
207	Northeastern	44.3%	-2.	-1.94	18.14	31
208	Toledo	44.1%	-4.03	-3.7	16.79	34
209	BostonUniv	43.9%	-1.78	-1.48	14.84	32
210	JacksonvilleSt	43.6%	-2.17	-1.87	19.06	30
211	AlbanyNY	43.6%	-2.1	-1.89	15.68	34
212	AustinPeay	43.5%	-2.97	-2.73	12.73	31
213	Cornell	43.%	-1.85	-1.83	9.68	27
214	McNeeseSt	42.8%	-2.99	-2.46	20.51	30
215	Campbell	42.6%	-4.82	-4.43	23.37	31
216	WrightSt	42.6%	-4.21	-3.24	20.85	31
217	MSValleySt	42.6%	-3.78	-3.67	13.28	34
218	Hawaii	41.9%	-4.5	-4.36	20.1	30
219	UtahValSt	41.7%	-6.32	-5.84	11.17	29
220	Hofstra	41.7%	-3.08	-2.68	19.86	32
221	SouthernUtah	41.6%	-5.28	-5.05	22.58	29
222	CentralConn	41.3%	-3.26	-3.35	22.67	29
223	NorthwesternLA	41.2%	-3.29	-3.12	17.32	29
224	StFrancisNY	40.7%	-2.6	-2.43	23.79	30
225	USC	40.6%	-2.01	-1.87	17.64	32
226	TexasTech	40.6%	-6.25	-5.96	15.43	31
227	SEMissouriSt	40.2%	-2.53	-2.39	20.93	29
228	Furman	40.1%	-5.09	-4.81	20.73	29
229	WCarolina	40.1%	-5.12	-5.09	23.49	33
230	ArizonaSt	40.%	-4.03	-3.78	22.18	31
231	Seattle	40.%	-2.78	-2.87	19.07	24
232	GaSouthern	39.8%	-5.21	-4.9	10.23	28
233	FloridaIntl	39.7%	-3.88	-3.69	25.88	28
234	HolyCross	39.6%	-3.81	-3.45	22.14	29
235	SIllinois	39.6%	-3.98	-3.72	11.64	30
236	SanDiego	39.4%	-4.29	-4.23	20.01	29
237	RhodeIsland	39.4%	-3.43	-3.48	21.05	31
238	Rider	39.3%	-3.65	-3.6	19.31	32
239	HighPoint	39.1%	-5.59	-5.15	22.67	29
240	Siena	38.6%	-3.45	-3.22	22.58	31
241	Jacksonville	38.5%	-4.25	-4.14	18.12	30
242	Lafayette	38.3%	-4.96	-4.46	15.17	31
243	UNCWilmington	38.%	-4.27	-4.09	17.7	31
244	CMichigan	37.9%	-5.25	-5.05	17.32	31
245	Stetson	37.3%	-4.25	-3.73	13.54	28
246	AppalachianSt	37.3%	-4.57	-4.21	21.79	29
247	SacredHeart	37.1%	-3.95	-3.74	18.48	32
248	Presbyterian	37.%	-5.38	-4.35	26.18	28
249	Niagara	36.9%	-4.39	-4.24	12.31	33
250	EMichigan	36.7%	-5.68	-5.25	17.6	31
251	DelawareSt	36.4%	-4.41	-3.93	22.18	27
252	NorthDakota	36.3%	-5.63	-5.04	19.61	28
253	EKentucky	36.2%	-5.34	-5.05	21.09	30
254	CSBakersfield	36.2%	-4.33	-4.11	20.42	28
255	UCIrvine	36.2%	-4.85	-4.72	14.43	29
256	JamesMadison	36.%	-3.98	-3.69	13.17	32
257	NColorado	35.8%	-5.78	-5.24	18.01	26
258	TXSouthern	35.5%	-5.34	-5.17	17.78	33
259	TexasSt	35.2%	-6.51	-6.1	18.26	26
260	Troy	35.1%	-5.47	-5.23	21.77	27
261	Chattanooga	35.%	-6.29	-5.98	11.78	29
262	Bradley	34.9%	-6.34	-6.03	20.64	32
263	BostonCollege	34.9%	-3.06	-2.86	24.32	31
264	Elon	34.4%	-4.79	-4.56	16.24	29
265	MorganSt	34.2%	-5.76	-5.47	20.2	29
266	SamHoustonSt	33.9%	-7.1	-6.64	17.99	28
267	GardnerWebb	33.8%	-4.63	-4.1	10.72	30
268	SouthDakota	33.7%	-8.21	-7.77	23.14	25
269	Winthrop	33.7%	-4.93	-4.44	16.13	30
270	MissouriKC	33.7%	-5.16	-4.91	29.4	29
271	Marist	32.8%	-5.76	-5.47	23.1	32
272	Fordham	32.8%	-7.1	-6.73	24.61	29
273	UCRiverside	32.8%	-6.1	-5.8	17.96	29
274	Bethune-Cookman	32.7%	-4.22	-4.09	9.13	33
275	SanJoseSt	32.4%	-6.28	-6.09	20.43	30
276	VMI	32.3%	-6.97	-6.61	21.09	30
277	Loyola-Chicago	32.3%	-6.16	-5.75	15.74	29
278	IPFW	32.2%	-4.29	-4.21	15.86	27
279	Samford	31.9%	-6.37	-6.	16.65	28
280	Portland	31.8%	-7.71	-7.29	20.45	30
281	CoppinSt	31.8%	-5.36	-4.98	17.06	26
282	Pacific	31.7%	-6.22	-5.87	22.41	28
283	ILChicago	31.3%	-6.45	-5.87	12.61	28
284	Maine	31.1%	-6.36	-6.12	16.76	28
285	UNCGreensboro	31.%	-6.45	-6.18	16.93	31
286	SantaClara	30.7%	-6.85	-6.51	21.78	28
287	Pepperdine	30.5%	-6.09	-5.56	20.76	28
288	MontanaSt	30.2%	-8.32	-7.64	17.42	27
289	Liberty	30.2%	-8.5	-8.12	15.03	29
290	CSSacramento	29.7%	-8.93	-8.31	20.43	26
291	EIllinois	29.1%	-7.69	-6.3	24.74	27
292	NCA&T	28.1%	-9.03	-8.67	14.09	29
293	IdahoSt	27.5%	-9.51	-8.47	15.64	29
294	Hampton	27.5%	-6.35	-6.05	13.58	33
295	MonmouthNJ	27.1%	-7.54	-7.49	29.36	32
296	NewHampshire	26.8%	-7.19	-6.74	17.49	28
297	SELouisiana	26.5%	-7.98	-7.77	12.2	26
298	William&Mary	26.4%	-8.42	-8.12	22.05	31
299	MtStMarys	26.3%	-8.17	-7.25	15.75	29
300	Army	25.9%	-7.18	-6.79	19.45	29
301	Dartmouth	25.8%	-8.67	-7.59	7.35	29
302	NJIT	25.7%	-8.2	-7.71	22.26	28
303	TAMC.Christi	25.%	-9.81	-9.42	12.4	30
304	Utah	24.8%	-10.49	-10.19	21.32	30
305	ULM	24.6%	-11.28	-10.79	31.41	28
306	Edwardsville	24.3%	-10.29	-9.08	20.2	25
307	StFrancisPA	24.1%	-11.23	-9.88	12.93	29
308	CSNorthridge	23.8%	-10.29	-9.11	26.59	26
309	TXPanAmerican	23.8%	-11.28	-10.9	12.03	28
310	SouthernUniv	22.9%	-10.59	-10.28	17.32	28
311	Howard	22.8%	-10.14	-9.78	14.98	30
312	Brown	22.5%	-9.32	-8.62	17.4	30
313	AlabamaSt	22.4%	-9.8	-9.37	9.72	29
314	Hartford	22.2%	-10.96	-10.67	19.71	31
315	PrairieView	21.4%	-11.16	-10.38	24.19	29
316	Kennesaw	21.2%	-10.23	-9.91	13.93	30
317	StPeters	21.2%	-9.9	-9.53	21.07	31
318	Radford	20.7%	-11.34	-10.69	12.2	30
319	FloridaA&M	20.5%	-11.87	-11.47	16.97	31
320	NichollsSt	20.4%	-13.97	-13.19	35.65	28
321	HoustonBap	20.%	-12.6	-12.2	18.25	27
322	Navy	19.9%	-11.53	-10.47	10.89	28
323	Colgate	19.8%	-11.42	-10.74	11.24	30
324	Citadel	19.8%	-11.57	-11.06	15.42	28
325	CentArkansas	18.9%	-11.51	-10.65	20.31	26
326	Canisius	18.7%	-11.67	-11.24	13.71	30
327	JacksonSt	18.6%	-11.85	-11.53	15.27	30
328	NIllinois	18.5%	-12.37	-11.87	15.54	29
329	ArkPineBluff	18.4%	-10.36	-10.03	13.35	33
330	MDEShore	17.8%	-11.81	-11.29	18.2	29
331	AlcornSt	17.5%	-14.02	-13.58	21.07	28
332	TNMartin	17.3%	-12.5	-11.28	19.02	29
333	UCDavis	17.3%	-12.31	-11.81	14.7	30
334	AlabamaA&M	16.3%	-13.85	-13.24	11.32	26
335	Longwood	15.9%	-15.33	-11.94	32.8	27
336	NorthernArizona	15.5%	-14.52	-12.78	14.47	27
337	Towson	15.2%	-13.89	-13.55	14.69	32
338	ChicagoSt	15.%	-15.35	-14.07	15.26	28
339	FDickinson	14.2%	-12.61	-12.35	10.13	29
340	Bryant	13.6%	-13.68	-13.12	13.75	30
341	SCarolinaSt	12.%	-15.73	-15.23	14.28	29
342	MDBaltimoreCo	10.9%	-14.7	-14.06	13.27	30
343	Binghamton	10.6%	-16.97	-16.58	17.75	31
344	Grambling	8.1%	-19.27	-17.47	12.24	28