cfb2011
Home Field Advantage: 2.79
Extra Variance: 175.9
Conference Comparison
The teams are ranked according to their expected win percentage (EWP) if they were to play a home-and-home series with every team.
Ranking
Team
EWP
Rating
LogRating
Variance
Games Played
1
Alabama
.94
30.79
20.41
10.53
12
2
LSU
.92
28.98
27.36
12.99
13
3
OklahomaSt
.9
24.17
19.82
45.1
13
4
Oregon
.88
22.3
19.22
24.62
13
5
Stanford
.87
21.86
20.19
20.47
13
6
Wisconsin
.85
18.92
17.56
23.57
13
7
Oklahoma
.84
18.42
15.1
62.13
13
8
BoiseSt
.81
16.04
13.55
37.25
13
9
Houston
.79
14.
12.97
47.77
13
10
USC
.78
17.15
14.74
38.83
12
11
Michigan
.77
13.99
12.35
20.33
13
12
TexasA&M
.76
10.95
9.67
17.98
13
13
Arkansas
.76
13.47
7.6
32.55
12
14
SouthCarolina
.73
10.94
8.45
22.97
12
15
MichiganSt
.73
10.86
8.83
24.44
13
16
Missouri
.73
10.43
8.79
25.37
12
17
NotreDame
.72
12.2
11.39
29.45
13
18
Baylor
.72
10.58
8.04
20.76
12
19
TCU
.72
8.89
7.26
22.13
12
20
FloridaSt
.72
12.51
9.57
29.45
12
21
Georgia
.71
12.42
11.62
18.06
13
22
Texas
.71
11.87
8.65
36.26
13
23
KansasSt
.7
7.58
7.16
37.27
12
24
WestVirginia
.67
9.13
6.09
48.23
12
25
Florida
.66
6.16
5.47
16.73
12
26
Nebraska
.65
7.61
7.43
24.13
12
27
SouthernMiss
.65
6.87
4.4
44.97
13
28
California
.64
6.56
6.18
26.37
12
29
Cincinnati
.64
5.08
4.33
24.
12
30
ArizonaSt
.63
3.09
3.39
38.52
12
31
Vanderbilt
.63
6.35
6.13
16.43
12
32
MississippiSt
.62
5.28
4.29
11.9
12
33
Tulsa
.61
3.62
3.53
34.24
13
34
VirginiaTech
.61
5.94
5.28
41.79
13
35
Toledo
.6
2.15
1.36
28.71
12
36
Utah
.6
5.16
5.04
67.22
12
37
PennSt
.6
3.87
3.69
11.52
12
38
LouisianaTech
.59
3.68
3.41
35.42
12
39
Rutgers
.59
4.31
3.04
16.78
12
40
Clemson
.59
4.35
5.
50.9
13
41
Iowa
.59
3.23
2.92
10.54
12
42
MiamiFL
.59
4.16
4.35
37.51
11
43
Temple
.59
4.13
3.25
38.75
12
44
OhioSt
.57
4.44
4.26
14.23
13
45
Washington
.57
2.89
2.72
22.47
12
46
IowaSt
.56
1.93
2.17
50.6
12
47
SouthFlorida
.56
1.86
1.7
26.89
11
48
GeorgiaTech
.55
3.78
3.52
18.07
12
49
Arizona
.55
2.1
2.07
35.71
11
50
Pittsburgh
.54
3.46
4.08
28.1
12
51
Tennessee
.54
3.19
2.71
23.17
11
52
BYU
.54
1.73
.15
42.34
12
53
Nevada
.53
-1.85
-1.8
15.7
13
54
Louisville
.53
1.64
1.86
23.36
12
55
NorthCarolina
.53
1.64
1.74
12.87
12
56
Auburn
.53
.92
.28
25.04
12
57
NIllinois
.53
.4
.24
41.31
13
58
SMU
.52
.28
-.18
38.32
12
59
ArkansasSt
.51
-3.88
-3.15
7.39
12
60
OregonSt
.51
-1.23
-1.64
22.02
11
61
Northwestern
.51
2.22
2.06
11.08
12
62
Illinois
.51
.46
.67
14.77
12
63
UCLA
.5
-1.35
-.97
50.37
14
64
NCState
.49
-.2
-.35
30.16
11
65
WMichigan
.49
.66
.91
22.29
12
66
WashingtonSt
.47
-.69
-.19
33.36
11
67
Connecticut
.47
-2.97
-3.63
18.59
11
68
Ohio
.46
-3.4
-3.06
17.74
13
69
UCF
.46
-3.36
-3.13
18.41
11
70
TexasTech
.46
-4.67
-4.01
80.71
11
71
Navy
.46
2.84
2.5
32.1
11
72
AirForce
.45
-3.11
-3.14
27.31
11
73
SanDiegoSt
.45
-2.57
-2.3
14.67
12
74
WakeForest
.44
-1.53
-1.45
27.98
12
75
Purdue
.43
-4.02
-3.11
21.17
12
76
ULL
.43
-2.61
-1.95
18.92
12
77
Syracuse
.43
-4.69
-3.34
32.47
11
78
UtahSt
.43
-1.95
-1.71
27.66
12
79
Virginia
.42
-5.82
-4.98
45.85
12
80
BostonCollege
.41
-4.98
-5.41
26.24
11
81
FloridaIntl
.41
-4.14
-3.35
20.64
13
82
MiamiOH
.4
-3.93
-3.39
18.59
12
83
Marshall
.39
-8.21
-7.31
35.17
13
84
WKentucky
.39
-4.55
-4.4
19.62
11
85
Hawaii
.37
-10.29
-8.8
49.05
12
86
Duke
.37
-3.22
-2.53
12.14
11
87
Kentucky
.37
-5.91
-5.86
31.88
11
88
Minnesota
.36
-8.23
-8.39
55.43
11
89
SanJoseSt
.36
-9.83
-8.81
18.49
12
90
Wyoming
.36
-9.55
-8.5
38.57
11
91
UTEP
.36
-9.94
-7.22
24.87
11
92
ULM
.36
-6.11
-4.94
21.56
11
93
FresnoSt
.36
-6.64
-5.28
27.89
12
94
Colorado
.35
-8.65
-7.54
28.51
13
95
NorthTexas
.34
-9.07
-9.4
28.02
12
96
Mississippi
.34
-7.92
-5.92
14.64
11
97
EastCarolina
.33
-8.91
-7.86
9.93
12
98
Rice
.32
-8.61
-7.42
6.33
12
99
Kent
.32
-8.89
-7.42
9.92
11
100
BowlingGreen
.31
-7.75
-6.85
34.26
11
101
Army
.31
-8.18
-5.65
24.35
11
102
BallSt
.3
-9.93
-8.9
34.05
12
103
Maryland
.3
-11.08
-7.94
25.16
11
104
EMichigan
.29
-8.89
-6.93
15.04
10
105
Kansas
.29
-12.55
-11.96
38.52
11
106
Indiana
.24
-15.71
-14.17
12.37
11
107
Troy
.23
-16.13
-12.28
32.78
12
108
Buffalo
.23
-13.14
-11.61
21.12
11
109
Idaho
.22
-16.32
-12.65
34.94
11
110
NewMexicoSt
.22
-14.99
-14.1
18.3
13
111
CMichigan
.22
-14.98
-13.23
15.58
11
112
ColoradoSt
.21
-16.2
-14.71
18.28
11
113
UAB
.19
-17.07
-14.99
62.88
12
114
UNLV
.17
-19.29
-15.61
31.86
11
115
MiddleTennSt
.16
-19.74
-15.4
36.44
12
116
Tulane
.14
-20.99
-15.92
65.32
12
117
FLAtlantic
.12
-20.75
-18.73
24.27
12
118
Memphis
.1
-24.02
-20.44
20.16
11
119
NewMexico
.07
-27.97
-21.81
24.11
11
120
Akron
.07
-27.21
-18.
23.31
11