Back to rankings

ArnoldPalmerInvitationalRound1

Expected Win Percentage: 80.%
Rating: 1.91
Log Rating: -1.54
Home Advantage: 0.
Variance: 1.98
Probability of Conference Championship: N/A

Opponent
EWP
Rating
LogRating
Variance
W/L
Score
N
RickyBarnes
41.4%
-.57
-.67
2.85
W
82-72
N
BrendanSteele
31.5%
-1.15
-1.07
2.01
W
81-72
N
TedPotterJr.
35.3%
-.92
-.97
2.19
W
76-72
N
SpencerLevin
62.1%
.75
.73
2.97
W
81-72
N
J.J.Killeen
35.5%
-.92
-.96
2.29
W
79-72
N
ScottMcCarron
3.%
-4.35
-3.89
1.58
W
76-72
N
ErikCompton
43.7%
-.39
-.49
1.79
W
80-72
N
BrendonTodd
44.6%
-.33
-.47
1.54
W
78-72
N
D.A.Points
57.%
.37
.35
1.76
W
75-72
N
TommyGainey
27.6%
-1.55
-1.49
3.1
W
76-72
N
HarrisEnglish
61.5%
.66
.65
2.16
W
76-72
N
StewartCink
46.5%
-.26
-.39
3.5
W
76-72
N
SamSaunders
28.6%
-1.36
-1.21
2.15
W
76-72
N
JasonKokrak
42.1%
-.47
-.58
1.62
W
77-72
N
JerryKelly
39.3%
-.63
-.7
1.57
W
79-72
N
DavidDuval
4.6%
-3.89
-3.54
1.58
W
74-72
N
RorySabbatini
45.%
-.34
-.32
2.63
W
75-72
N
CarlPettersson
64.9%
.85
.8
1.96
W
78-72
N
GregChalmers
67.%
.91
.97
1.21
W
75-72
N
KyleReifers
46.9%
-.2
-.42
1.65
W
76-72
N
JeffMaggert
56.5%
.37
.41
2.68
L
72-72
N
HarrisonFrazar
51.9%
.09
.12
2.1
W
74-72
N
KenDuke
55.3%
.3
.3
2.66
W
77-72
N
PatPerez
67.8%
1.
.97
1.65
L
72-72
N
RoccoMediate
38.7%
-.7
-.73
1.99
W
76-72
N
RobertDamron
17.3%
-1.91
-1.82
.56
W
76-72
N
GaryChristian
46.4%
-.22
-.08
1.5
W
74-72
N
DanielChopra
11.1%
-3.09
-2.98
2.78
W
77-72
N
JonathanByrd
62.3%
.68
.57
1.72
W
76-72
N
Sang-MoonBae
59.2%
.53
.54
2.41
W
74-72
N
BrendondeJonge
60.%
.55
.59
1.86
W
75-72
N
CameronTringale
63.7%
.77
.8
1.92
W
79-72
N
DavidToms
58.9%
.49
.55
1.84
W
74-72
N
ScottPiercy
62.2%
.69
.68
1.93
W
75-72
N
RyanPalmer
56.3%
.36
.4
2.6
W
73-72
N
JohnMallinger
58.6%
.46
.53
1.63
W
74-72
N
BrandtJobe
47.%
-.21
-.23
2.3
W
75-72
N
RobertGarrigus
59.2%
.56
.67
3.08
W
73-72
N
BenCrane
73.2%
1.3
1.28
1.3
W
78-72
N
DavisLoveIII
58.8%
.48
.56
1.85
L
72-70
N
JohnHuh
64.8%
.86
.91
2.09
W
77-72
N
TomGillis
49.1%
-.08
.09
2.7
W
79-72
N
JhonattanVegas
28.6%
-1.3
-1.24
1.67
W
76-72
N
JeffOverton
62.%
.71
.72
2.46
W
76-72
N
ChezReavie
48.%
-.15
-.17
2.55
W
73-72
N
AnthonyKim
22.6%
-1.97
-1.92
3.23
L
72-69
N
MartinFlores
49.4%
-.06
-.01
2.26
W
74-72
N
ColtKnost
34.3%
-1.02
-1.09
2.64
W
76-72
N
BillyHurleyIII
21.2%
-1.94
-1.95
2.29
W
75-72
N
BobbyGates
46.%
-.25
-.41
1.88
W
74-72
N
BrandtSnedeker
69.3%
1.18
1.12
2.4
W
73-72
N
WilliamMcGirt
54.2%
.21
.23
1.55
W
73-72
N
MarkWilson
61.3%
.6
.6
1.46
W
77-72
N
JustinLeonard
42.7%
-.47
-.55
2.46
W
75-72
N
CharleyHoffman
45.%
-.3
-.4
1.53
W
76-72
N
NickWatney
64.9%
.85
.85
1.83
L
72-68
N
D.J.Trahan
42.8%
-.45
-.48
2.13
W
76-72
N
LeeJanzen
42.1%
-.44
-.51
.99
W
74-72
N
BooWeekley
42.9%
-.48
-.41
2.89
W
74-72
N
RyoIshikawa
46.8%
-.2
-.11
1.3
W
73-72
N
SkipKendall
30.8%
-1.05
-1.13
.77
L
72-71
N
FredrikJacobson
63.7%
.79
.79
2.14
W
77-72
N
GaryWoodland
47.%
-.21
-.19
2.62
W
75-72
N
MarcLeishman
67.7%
.94
.96
1.06
L
72-70
N
RobertAllenby
59.7%
.52
.59
1.6
L
72-72
N
DickyPride
69.5%
1.08
1.01
1.36
W
74-72
N
ScottStallings
35.2%
-.93
-.86
2.28
W
74-72
N
JoshTeater
47.5%
-.18
-.28
2.59
W
74-72
N
ChadCampbell
43.7%
-.37
-.49
1.42
L
72-71
N
BrianGay
55.9%
.3
.34
1.38
L
72-72
N
HunterMahan
76.7%
1.66
1.62
2.04
L
72-72
N
CamiloVillegas
47.4%
-.17
-.36
1.73
W
73-72
N
AndresRomero
44.3%
-.34
-.33
1.53
W
73-72
N
WebbSimpson
69.1%
1.2
1.11
2.69
W
73-72
N
K.J.Choi
66.6%
.98
.92
2.12
L
72-69
N
MartinLaird
65.3%
.84
.77
1.53
L
72-72
N
KrisBlanks
49.5%
-.05
.01
1.27
L
72-71
N
MichaelThompson
60.7%
.59
.62
1.75
W
74-72
N
RodPampling
55.6%
.3
.39
1.86
W
75-72
N
SergioGarcia
72.7%
1.47
1.37
2.76
L
72-72
N
DanielSummerhays
50.8%
.02
.11
2.33
L
72-72
N
GeorgeMcNeill
65.9%
.87
.87
1.41
W
73-72
N
CharlieWi
57.5%
.44
.53
2.92
L
72-66
N
SeanOHair
62.1%
.64
.64
1.26
L
72-69
N
BillHaas
68.5%
1.02
1.01
1.32
W
73-72
N
J.B.Holmes
52.1%
.1
.2
2.38
L
72-71
N
VijaySingh
59.8%
.55
.59
1.94
L
72-71
N
PhilMickelson
77.5%
1.79
1.85
2.45
W
73-72
N
KevinChappell
54.5%
.22
.3
1.43
W
73-72
N
MattEvery
46.9%
-.22
-.42
2.48
W
73-72
N
JimmyWalker
61.3%
.65
.7
2.27
L
72-69
N
CharlesHowellIII
67.8%
.99
.97
1.52
W
73-72
N
Seung-yulNoh
53.6%
.18
.2
1.77
W
73-72
N
GregOwen
59.4%
.53
.55
2.15
W
73-72
N
JohnRollins
62.7%
.72
.75
1.95
L
72-71
N
ChrisStroud
64.8%
.84
.83
1.85
L
72-70
N
JustinRose
86.6%
2.35
2.33
1.3
L
72-69
N
JasonDufner
68.7%
1.2
1.22
2.98
L
72-66
N
HenrikStenson
70.7%
1.18
1.17
1.59
L
72-72
N
BrianHarman
59.%
.52
.59
2.52
W
77-72
N
ZachJohnson
72.7%
1.27
1.31
1.31
L
72-71
N
TimHerron
39.3%
-.67
-.73
2.14
W
74-72
N
TrevorImmelman
51.3%
.05
.28
2.41
W
73-72
N
JimFuryk
82.2%
1.92
1.88
1.14
L
72-72
N
ErnieEls
69.%
1.09
1.1
1.75
L
72-71
N
JohnsonWagner
72.%
1.22
1.2
1.25
L
72-71
N
KevinNa
67.5%
1.03
1.03
2.05
W
73-72
N
BudCauley
70.6%
1.2
1.16
1.8
L
72-70
N
BubbaWatson
83.6%
2.15
2.14
1.62
L
72-69
N
BrianDavis
59.%
.49
.55
1.76
L
72-70
N
RyanMoore
47.3%
-.22
-.27
4.4
L
72-71
N
IanPoulter
67.1%
.95
.99
1.47
L
72-71
N
GraemeMcDowell
70.8%
1.37
1.42
3.19
L
72-72
N
TigerWoods
83.1%
2.23
2.15
2.22
L
72-69

Current Record: 77-37
Expected Final Record: 77.-37.
Record 77-37
Probability 100.%