ArnoldPalmerInvitationalRound1

Expected Win Percentage: 80.%
Rating: 1.91
Log Rating: -1.54
Home Advantage: 0.
Variance: 1.98
Probability of Conference Championship: N/A

	Opponent	EWP	Rating	LogRating	Variance	W/L	Score
N	RickyBarnes	41.4%	-.57	-.67	2.85	W	82-72
N	BrendanSteele	31.5%	-1.15	-1.07	2.01	W	81-72
N	TedPotterJr.	35.3%	-.92	-.97	2.19	W	76-72
N	SpencerLevin	62.1%	.75	.73	2.97	W	81-72
N	J.J.Killeen	35.5%	-.92	-.96	2.29	W	79-72
N	ScottMcCarron	3.%	-4.35	-3.89	1.58	W	76-72
N	ErikCompton	43.7%	-.39	-.49	1.79	W	80-72
N	BrendonTodd	44.6%	-.33	-.47	1.54	W	78-72
N	D.A.Points	57.%	.37	.35	1.76	W	75-72
N	TommyGainey	27.6%	-1.55	-1.49	3.1	W	76-72
N	HarrisEnglish	61.5%	.66	.65	2.16	W	76-72
N	StewartCink	46.5%	-.26	-.39	3.5	W	76-72
N	SamSaunders	28.6%	-1.36	-1.21	2.15	W	76-72
N	JasonKokrak	42.1%	-.47	-.58	1.62	W	77-72
N	JerryKelly	39.3%	-.63	-.7	1.57	W	79-72
N	DavidDuval	4.6%	-3.89	-3.54	1.58	W	74-72
N	RorySabbatini	45.%	-.34	-.32	2.63	W	75-72
N	CarlPettersson	64.9%	.85	.8	1.96	W	78-72
N	GregChalmers	67.%	.91	.97	1.21	W	75-72
N	KyleReifers	46.9%	-.2	-.42	1.65	W	76-72
N	JeffMaggert	56.5%	.37	.41	2.68	L	72-72
N	HarrisonFrazar	51.9%	.09	.12	2.1	W	74-72
N	KenDuke	55.3%	.3	.3	2.66	W	77-72
N	PatPerez	67.8%	1.	.97	1.65	L	72-72
N	RoccoMediate	38.7%	-.7	-.73	1.99	W	76-72
N	RobertDamron	17.3%	-1.91	-1.82	.56	W	76-72
N	GaryChristian	46.4%	-.22	-.08	1.5	W	74-72
N	DanielChopra	11.1%	-3.09	-2.98	2.78	W	77-72
N	JonathanByrd	62.3%	.68	.57	1.72	W	76-72
N	Sang-MoonBae	59.2%	.53	.54	2.41	W	74-72
N	BrendondeJonge	60.%	.55	.59	1.86	W	75-72
N	CameronTringale	63.7%	.77	.8	1.92	W	79-72
N	DavidToms	58.9%	.49	.55	1.84	W	74-72
N	ScottPiercy	62.2%	.69	.68	1.93	W	75-72
N	RyanPalmer	56.3%	.36	.4	2.6	W	73-72
N	JohnMallinger	58.6%	.46	.53	1.63	W	74-72
N	BrandtJobe	47.%	-.21	-.23	2.3	W	75-72
N	RobertGarrigus	59.2%	.56	.67	3.08	W	73-72
N	BenCrane	73.2%	1.3	1.28	1.3	W	78-72
N	DavisLoveIII	58.8%	.48	.56	1.85	L	72-70
N	JohnHuh	64.8%	.86	.91	2.09	W	77-72
N	TomGillis	49.1%	-.08	.09	2.7	W	79-72
N	JhonattanVegas	28.6%	-1.3	-1.24	1.67	W	76-72
N	JeffOverton	62.%	.71	.72	2.46	W	76-72
N	ChezReavie	48.%	-.15	-.17	2.55	W	73-72
N	AnthonyKim	22.6%	-1.97	-1.92	3.23	L	72-69
N	MartinFlores	49.4%	-.06	-.01	2.26	W	74-72
N	ColtKnost	34.3%	-1.02	-1.09	2.64	W	76-72
N	BillyHurleyIII	21.2%	-1.94	-1.95	2.29	W	75-72
N	BobbyGates	46.%	-.25	-.41	1.88	W	74-72
N	BrandtSnedeker	69.3%	1.18	1.12	2.4	W	73-72
N	WilliamMcGirt	54.2%	.21	.23	1.55	W	73-72
N	MarkWilson	61.3%	.6	.6	1.46	W	77-72
N	JustinLeonard	42.7%	-.47	-.55	2.46	W	75-72
N	CharleyHoffman	45.%	-.3	-.4	1.53	W	76-72
N	NickWatney	64.9%	.85	.85	1.83	L	72-68
N	D.J.Trahan	42.8%	-.45	-.48	2.13	W	76-72
N	LeeJanzen	42.1%	-.44	-.51	.99	W	74-72
N	BooWeekley	42.9%	-.48	-.41	2.89	W	74-72
N	RyoIshikawa	46.8%	-.2	-.11	1.3	W	73-72
N	SkipKendall	30.8%	-1.05	-1.13	.77	L	72-71
N	FredrikJacobson	63.7%	.79	.79	2.14	W	77-72
N	GaryWoodland	47.%	-.21	-.19	2.62	W	75-72
N	MarcLeishman	67.7%	.94	.96	1.06	L	72-70
N	RobertAllenby	59.7%	.52	.59	1.6	L	72-72
N	DickyPride	69.5%	1.08	1.01	1.36	W	74-72
N	ScottStallings	35.2%	-.93	-.86	2.28	W	74-72
N	JoshTeater	47.5%	-.18	-.28	2.59	W	74-72
N	ChadCampbell	43.7%	-.37	-.49	1.42	L	72-71
N	BrianGay	55.9%	.3	.34	1.38	L	72-72
N	HunterMahan	76.7%	1.66	1.62	2.04	L	72-72
N	CamiloVillegas	47.4%	-.17	-.36	1.73	W	73-72
N	AndresRomero	44.3%	-.34	-.33	1.53	W	73-72
N	WebbSimpson	69.1%	1.2	1.11	2.69	W	73-72
N	K.J.Choi	66.6%	.98	.92	2.12	L	72-69
N	MartinLaird	65.3%	.84	.77	1.53	L	72-72
N	KrisBlanks	49.5%	-.05	.01	1.27	L	72-71
N	MichaelThompson	60.7%	.59	.62	1.75	W	74-72
N	RodPampling	55.6%	.3	.39	1.86	W	75-72
N	SergioGarcia	72.7%	1.47	1.37	2.76	L	72-72
N	DanielSummerhays	50.8%	.02	.11	2.33	L	72-72
N	GeorgeMcNeill	65.9%	.87	.87	1.41	W	73-72
N	CharlieWi	57.5%	.44	.53	2.92	L	72-66
N	SeanOHair	62.1%	.64	.64	1.26	L	72-69
N	BillHaas	68.5%	1.02	1.01	1.32	W	73-72
N	J.B.Holmes	52.1%	.1	.2	2.38	L	72-71
N	VijaySingh	59.8%	.55	.59	1.94	L	72-71
N	PhilMickelson	77.5%	1.79	1.85	2.45	W	73-72
N	KevinChappell	54.5%	.22	.3	1.43	W	73-72
N	MattEvery	46.9%	-.22	-.42	2.48	W	73-72
N	JimmyWalker	61.3%	.65	.7	2.27	L	72-69
N	CharlesHowellIII	67.8%	.99	.97	1.52	W	73-72
N	Seung-yulNoh	53.6%	.18	.2	1.77	W	73-72
N	GregOwen	59.4%	.53	.55	2.15	W	73-72
N	JohnRollins	62.7%	.72	.75	1.95	L	72-71
N	ChrisStroud	64.8%	.84	.83	1.85	L	72-70
N	JustinRose	86.6%	2.35	2.33	1.3	L	72-69
N	JasonDufner	68.7%	1.2	1.22	2.98	L	72-66
N	HenrikStenson	70.7%	1.18	1.17	1.59	L	72-72
N	BrianHarman	59.%	.52	.59	2.52	W	77-72
N	ZachJohnson	72.7%	1.27	1.31	1.31	L	72-71
N	TimHerron	39.3%	-.67	-.73	2.14	W	74-72
N	TrevorImmelman	51.3%	.05	.28	2.41	W	73-72
N	JimFuryk	82.2%	1.92	1.88	1.14	L	72-72
N	ErnieEls	69.%	1.09	1.1	1.75	L	72-71
N	JohnsonWagner	72.%	1.22	1.2	1.25	L	72-71
N	KevinNa	67.5%	1.03	1.03	2.05	W	73-72
N	BudCauley	70.6%	1.2	1.16	1.8	L	72-70
N	BubbaWatson	83.6%	2.15	2.14	1.62	L	72-69
N	BrianDavis	59.%	.49	.55	1.76	L	72-70
N	RyanMoore	47.3%	-.22	-.27	4.4	L	72-71
N	IanPoulter	67.1%	.95	.99	1.47	L	72-71
N	GraemeMcDowell	70.8%	1.37	1.42	3.19	L	72-72
N	TigerWoods	83.1%	2.23	2.15	2.22	L	72-69

Current Record: 77-37
Expected Final Record: 77.-37.

Record	77-37
Probability	100.%