ShellHoustonOpenRound3

Expected Win Percentage: 62.9%
Rating: .79
Log Rating: -.14
Home Advantage: 0.
Variance: 2.88
Probability of Conference Championship: N/A

	Opponent	EWP	Rating	LogRating	Variance	W/L	Score
N	JustinLeonard	42.7%	-.47	-.55	2.46	W	83-72
N	ColtKnost	34.3%	-1.02	-1.09	2.64	W	81-72
N	RyanMoore	47.3%	-.22	-.27	4.4	W	85-72
N	DanielSummerhays	50.8%	.02	.11	2.33	W	80-72
N	ChrisDiMarco	45.9%	-.28	-.42	2.56	W	78-72
N	DuffyWaldorf	40.6%	-.55	-.69	1.52	W	77-72
N	KevinStadler	62.4%	.67	.67	1.51	W	77-72
N	WilliamMcGirt	54.2%	.21	.23	1.55	W	77-72
N	ChrisStroud	64.8%	.84	.83	1.85	W	76-72
N	RobertAllenby	59.7%	.52	.59	1.6	W	78-72
N	KyleStanley	62.8%	.75	.72	2.32	W	75-72
N	CharleyHoffman	45.%	-.3	-.4	1.53	W	75-72
N	BrianHarman	59.%	.52	.59	2.52	W	75-72
N	HunterHaas	31.9%	-1.12	-1.1	2.05	W	79-72
N	KrisBlanks	49.5%	-.05	.01	1.27	W	76-72
N	JimmyWalker	61.3%	.65	.7	2.27	W	74-72
N	BillLunde	41.8%	-.5	-.51	1.73	W	76-72
N	PadraigHarrington	69.%	1.21	1.16	2.89	W	74-72
N	TedPotterJr.	35.3%	-.92	-.97	2.19	L	72-72
N	MiguelAngelCarballo	33.7%	-.98	-.99	1.79	W	73-72
N	BillyMayfair	43.9%	-.35	-.49	1.1	L	72-71
N	RickyBarnes	41.4%	-.57	-.67	2.85	W	74-72
N	GraemeMcDowell	70.8%	1.37	1.42	3.19	W	73-72
N	RickieFowler	62.2%	.67	.64	1.7	W	74-72
N	SteveWheatcroft	29.3%	-1.29	-1.32	1.93	W	73-72
N	JoeOgilvie	44.4%	-.32	-.44	1.18	W	74-72
N	ShaunMicheel	52.5%	.11	.27	1.25	L	72-71
N	JohnMallinger	58.6%	.46	.53	1.63	L	72-70
N	NathanGreen	44.6%	-.32	-.49	1.42	L	72-70
N	TimHerron	39.3%	-.67	-.73	2.14	L	72-68
N	JasonBohn	35.7%	-.84	-.81	1.55	W	73-72
N	CameronBeckman	35.9%	-.87	-.93	2.07	W	73-72
N	TroyMatteson	36.8%	-.81	-.81	2.09	L	72-72
N	ThomasBjorn	59.%	.51	.6	2.07	L	72-70
N	TommyBiershenk	22.%	-1.99	-1.95	2.97	L	72-72
N	WillClaxton	60.4%	.56	.54	1.57	L	72-70
N	JamieLovemark	40.2%	-.6	-.66	1.94	W	74-72
N	JohnMerrick	44.6%	-.31	-.38	1.15	L	72-72
N	ChadCampbell	43.7%	-.37	-.49	1.42	W	75-72
N	JhonattanVegas	28.6%	-1.3	-1.24	1.67	L	72-72
N	TroyKelly	33.7%	-.99	-.98	1.84	L	72-72
N	TommyGainey	27.6%	-1.55	-1.49	3.1	L	72-71
N	SeanOHair	62.1%	.64	.64	1.26	L	72-69
N	ErikCompton	43.7%	-.39	-.49	1.79	W	73-72
N	BlakeAdams	49.6%	-.05	.07	1.76	W	73-72
N	BrendondeJonge	60.%	.55	.59	1.86	L	72-72
N	BrandtJobe	47.%	-.21	-.23	2.3	L	72-71
N	DannyLee	39.8%	-.63	-.67	2.03	L	72-72
N	MathewGoggin	44.4%	-.36	-.53	2.1	L	72-70
N	SteveStricker	76.4%	1.6	1.45	1.75	W	75-72
N	RobertoCastro	52.2%	.09	.14	1.14	W	73-72
N	JeffMaggert	56.5%	.37	.41	2.68	W	76-72
N	Y.E.Yang	50.5%	0.	.11	1.97	L	72-69
N	JohnsonWagner	72.%	1.22	1.2	1.25	L	72-70
N	JonasBlixt	44.8%	-.33	-.41	2.04	W	74-72
N	MarkD.Anderson	48.3%	-.12	.06	1.59	L	72-70
N	BenCrane	73.2%	1.3	1.28	1.3	W	73-72
N	RodPampling	55.6%	.3	.39	1.86	L	72-70
N	RyanPalmer	56.3%	.36	.4	2.6	L	72-66
N	LeeWestwood	85.9%	2.43	2.36	1.9	L	72-70
N	VaughnTaylor	47.5%	-.17	-.24	1.87	L	72-72
N	MarcLeishman	67.7%	.94	.96	1.06	L	72-69
N	HenrikStenson	70.7%	1.18	1.17	1.59	L	72-72
N	ScottPiercy	62.2%	.69	.68	1.93	L	72-70
N	KyleReifers	46.9%	-.2	-.42	1.65	W	74-72
N	AngelCabrera	45.5%	-.29	-.19	2.	W	76-72
N	JohnSenden	74.7%	1.45	1.42	1.59	L	72-69
N	BryceMolder	71.2%	1.25	1.21	1.85	L	72-69
N	HarrisEnglish	61.5%	.66	.65	2.16	W	73-72
N	BooWeekley	42.9%	-.48	-.41	2.89	L	72-70
N	JohnHuh	64.8%	.86	.91	2.09	L	72-70
N	GregOwen	59.4%	.53	.55	2.15	W	76-72
N	ErnieEls	69.%	1.09	1.1	1.75	L	72-69
N	PatPerez	67.8%	1.	.97	1.65	L	72-71
N	JamesDriscoll	57.2%	.38	.45	1.59	L	72-71
N	J.B.Holmes	52.1%	.1	.2	2.38	L	72-71
N	CameronTringale	63.7%	.77	.8	1.92	L	72-70
N	BudCauley	70.6%	1.2	1.16	1.8	W	73-72
N	BrianDavis	59.%	.49	.55	1.76	L	72-69
N	PhilMickelson	77.5%	1.79	1.85	2.45	L	72-70
N	KeeganBradley	76.2%	1.61	1.55	1.95	L	72-69
N	JeffOverton	62.%	.71	.72	2.46	L	72-69
N	LouisOosthuizen	78.9%	1.9	1.78	2.44	L	72-66
N	CarlPettersson	64.9%	.85	.8	1.96	L	72-67
N	HunterMahan	76.7%	1.66	1.62	2.04	L	72-65

Current Record: 40-45
Expected Final Record: 40.-45.

Record	40-45
Probability	100.%