Timothy N. Bond
CV (pdf)


Bond, Timothy N., Jillian B. Carr, Analisa Packham, and Jonathan Smith. "Hungry for Success? SNAP Timing, High-Stakes Exam Performance, and College Attendance." American Economic Journal: Economy Policy (forthcoming) [link]

Wan, Sirui, Timothy N. Bond, Kevin Lang, Douglas H. Clements, Julie Sarama, and Drew H. Bailey. 2021. "Is Intervention Fadeout a Scaling Artefact?" Economics of Education Review 82

Bond, Timothy N., and Kevin Lang. 2019. "The Sad Truth about Happiness Scales." Journal of Political Economy 127 (4): 1629-1640.

Bond, Timothy N., and Kevin Lang. 2018. "The Black-White Education-Scaled Test-Score Gap in Grades K-7." Journal of Human Resources 53 (4): 891-917.

Bond, Timothy N., George Bulman, Xiaoxiao Li, and Jonathan Smith. 2018. "Updating Human Capital Decisions: Evidence from SAT Score Shocks and College Application
Decisions." Journal of Labor Economics 36 (3): 807-39.

Bond, Timothy N., and Laura Salisbury. 2018. "Local Information, Income Dispersion, and Geographic Mobility." B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy 18 (3). [link]

Bond, Timothy N., and Jee-Yeon K. Lehmann. 2018. "Prejudice and Racial Matches in Employment." Labour Economics 51: 271-93. [link]

Bond, Timothy N. 2017. "Internal Labor Markets in Equilibrium." Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 33 (1): 28-67.

Bond, Timothy N., and Kevin Lang. 2013. "The Evolution of the Black-White Test Score Gap in Grades K-3: The Fragility of Results." Review of Economics and Statistics 95 (5): 1468-79. 

Working Papers

Stalled Racial Progress and Japanese Trade in the 1970s and 1980s (update 2/4/19)  [pdf] (joint with Mary Kate Batistich)

Many of the positive economic trends coming out of the Civil Rights Era for black men stagnated or reversed during the late 1970s and early 1980s. These changes were concurrent with a rapid rise in import competition from Japan.  We assess the impact of this trade shock on racial disparities using commuting zone level variation in exposure. We find it decreased black manufacturing employment, labor force participation, and median earnings, and increased public assistance recipiency. However these manufacturing losses for blacks were offset by increased white manufacturing employment. This compositional shift appears to have been caused by skill upgrading in the manufacturing sector. Losses were concentrated among black high school dropouts and gains among college educated whites. We also see a shifting of manufacturing employment towards professionals, engineers, and college educated production workers. We find no evidence the heterogeneous effect of trade can be explained by unionization, prejudice, or changes in spatial mismatch. Our results can explain 66-86% of the relative decrease in black manufacturing employment, 17-23% of the relative rise in black non-labor force participation, and 34-44% of the relative decline in black median male earnings from 1970-1990.

Teacher Peformance Pay in the United States: Incidence and Adult Outcomes
[pdf] (joint with Kevin J. Mumford)

This paper estimates the effect of exposure to teacher pay-for-performance programs on adult outcomes. We construct a comprehensive data set of schools which have implemented teacher performance pay programs across the United States since 1986, and use our data to calculate the fraction of students by race in each grade and in each state who are affected by a teacher performance pay program in a given year. We then calculate the expected years of exposure for each race-specific birth state-grade cohort in the American Community Survey. Cohorts with more exposure are more likely to graduate from high school and earn higher wages as adults. The positive effect is concentrated in grades 1-3 and on programs that targeted schools with a higher fraction of students who are eligible for free and reduced lunch.

Imigration and Work Schedules: Theory and Evidence [pdf]
(joint with Osea Giuntella and Jakub Lonsky)

We develop a theoretical framework to analyze the effects of immigration on native job amenities, focusing on work schedules. Immigrants have a comparative advantage in production at, and lower disamenity cost for nighttime work, which leads them to disproportionately choose nighttime employment. Because day and night tasks are imperfect substitutes, the relative price of day tasks increases as their supply becomes relatively more scarce. We provide empirical support for our theory. Native workers in local labor markets that experienced higher rates of immigration are more likely to work day shifts and receive a lower compensating differential for nighttime work.